肝癌电子杂志 ›› 2023, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (4): 38-41.

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于预后营养指数及总蛋白、血红蛋白、转铁蛋白水平建立预后评估模型在肝癌放疗和化疗患者中的应用效果

任东静, 马海燕, 郭飞*   

  1. 河北北方学院附属第一医院普通外科,河北张家口 075000
  • 收稿日期:2023-05-30 出版日期:2023-12-31 发布日期:2024-02-05
  • 通讯作者: *郭飞,E-mail:yfypwkgf@163.com

Application effect of establishing prognostic evaluation model based on prognostic nutritional index and total protein, hemoglobin, transferrin levels in patients with liver cancer radiotherapy and chemotherapy

Ren Dongjing, Ma Haiyan, Guo Fei*   

  1. Department of General Surgery, First Affiliated Hospital of Hebei North University, Zhangjiakou 075000, Hebei, China
  • Received:2023-05-30 Online:2023-12-31 Published:2024-02-05
  • Contact: *Guo Fei,E-mail:yfypwkgf@163.com

摘要: 目的: 探究基于预后营养指数(PNI)及血清总蛋白(TP)、血红蛋白(Hb)、转铁蛋白(TF)水平建立预后评估模型在肝癌放疗和化疗患者中的应用效果。
方法: 依据入组标准选取河北北方学院附属第一医院2018年5月至2021年1月收治的肝癌放疗和化疗患者100例,采用实体瘤疗效评价标准将患者分为稳定组(46例)和进展组(54例)。检测所有患者血清TP、白蛋白、Hb、TF水平,并根据其血生化检测结果计算患者PNI。使用多因素Logistic回归分析PNI、TP、Hb、TF水平对肝癌放疗和化疗患者预后的影响。建立PNI联合TP、Hb、TF的预后评估模型。观察不同基线资料、临床资料患者预后评估模型最终得分,并使用受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线评估该模型对患者预后的预测价值。
结果: 稳定组的PNI、TP、Hb水平显著高于进展组,TF水平显著低于进展组(均P<0.05)。多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示PNI、TP、TF、Hb均是影响患者预后的因素(均P<0.05)。预后评估模型结果显示年龄>60岁、肿瘤数量>3个、最大肿瘤直径>5 cm患者的预后较差(均P<0.05),不同性别、是否手术切除患者的预后差异均无统计学意义(均P>0.05);合并并发症、生存时间<1年、疾病进展患者预后较差(均P<0.05),是否复发和转移患者预后差异无统计学意义(均P>0.05)。ROC曲线显示预后评估模型截断值为0.621,此时预测敏感度为87.04%,特异度为86.96%,ROC曲线下面积为0.913。
结论: 肝癌放疗和化疗患者预后与其PNI及TP、Hb、TF水平具有密切联系,且PNI联合TP、Hb、TF水平建立预后评估模型对患者预后评估具有较高敏感度、特异度。

关键词: 预后营养指数, 总蛋白, 血红蛋白, 转铁蛋白, 预后评估模型, 肝癌, 放疗, 化疗, 预后

Abstract: Objective:To explore the application effect of establishing a prognostic evaluation model based on prognostic nutritional index(PNI) and total protein (TP), hemoglobin (Hb), transferrin (TF) levels in patients with liver cancer radiotherapy and chemotherapy.
Methods:According to enrollment criteria,the research subjects selected a total of 100 patients with liver cancer treated with radiotherapy and chemotherapy in First Affiliated Hospital of Hebei North University from May 2018 to January 2021. According to the prognosis of the patients, they were divided into a stable group (46 cases) and a progressive group (54 cases). The levels of TP, ALB, Hb, and TF were detected, and the PNI was calculated according to their blood biochemical test results. Multivariate Logistic regression was used. The correlation between PNI, TP, Hb, TF levels and patient prognosis was analyzed, and prognostic evaluation model of PNI combined with TP, Hb and TF was established. The final scores of the patient outcome assessment model were observed for different baseline and clinical data, and the predictive value of prognostic evaluation model was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Results:The PNI, TP and Hb levels of the two groups in the stable group were significantly higher than those in the progressive group, and the TF level was significantly lower than that in the progressive group (all P<0.05). is an independent risk factor affecting the prognosis of patients (all P<0.05); the results of the prognostic evaluation model in patients with age greater than 60 years, the number of tumors greater than 3, and the largest tumor diameter greater than 5 cm were significantly lower (all P<0.05). There was no significant difference in the results (all P>0.05); the results of the prognostic evaluation model in patients with complications, survival less than 1 year, and disease progression were significantly lower (all P<0.05), and there was no statistical difference in the prognostic evaluation model results in patients with recurrence and metastasis. (all P>0.05). ROC curve showed that the cut-off value of the prognostic evaluation model was 0.621, and the predictive sensitivity was 87.04% and the specificity was 86.96%. The area under the curve is 0.913. Conclusion:The prognosis of patients with liver cancer radiotherapy and chemotherapy is closely related to the nutritional index and the levels of TP, Hb and TF, and the nutritional index combined with the levels of TP, Hb and TF to establish a prognostic evaluation model has high sensitivity and specificity for the prognosis evaluation of patients.

Key words: Prognostic nutritional index, Total protein, Hemoglobin, Transferrin, Prognostic evaluation model, Liver cancer, Radiotherapy, Chemotherapy, Prognosis